Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2940
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 2940 · MIA → BWI
departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1 34%
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.19 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.