Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3075
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
F9 3075 · BWI → CLT
departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 19%
Thu 10/1 24%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 9.2 mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.