Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 3578 · MSP → FSD
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 7:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 15%
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.90 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.