Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
OO 3976 · TVC → DTW
departs 2:08 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 22%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at TVC that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.