Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 3976 · TVC → DTW
departs 2:08 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.33 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.