Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3976 · TVC → DTW
departs 2:08 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at TVC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.12 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.