Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4035 LANDED 10:01 PM CT, ~9 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

OO 4035 · MSP → MEM

took off 8:21 PM CT · landed 10:01 PM CT (scheduled 8:05 PM CT → 10:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MEM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

MEM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4035 · MSP → MEM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MEM?