Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 4040 · PVD → DTW
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 17%
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from PVD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.