Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 4040 · PVD → DTW
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from PVD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.