Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 4289 · MSP → XWA
departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 10:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 13%
Thu 10/1 7%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at XWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XWA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.57 in
XWA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.