Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 4289 · MSP → XWA
departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 10:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at XWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XWA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into XWA at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.02 in
XWA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.