Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 4941 · ORD → MKE
departs 7:00 PM CT · arrives 8:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 63%
Thu 10/1 58%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.