Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 5021 · ORD → SUX
departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 60%
Thu 10/1 60%
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SUX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SUX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SUX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SUX that day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
SUX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
SUX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.