Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 5111 · DEN → ROW
departs 3:50 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 68%
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ROW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ROW that day
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
ROW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ROW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.