Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 5436 · FWA → ORD
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 46%
Thu 10/1 46%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from FWA are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.