Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6200
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
OO 6200 · BNA → ORD
departs 4:01 PM CT · arrives 6:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 68%
Thu 10/1 83%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.