Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1704 LANDED 6:09 PM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

UA 1704 · MSP → DEN

took off 5:25 PM CT · landed 6:09 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.47 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1704 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time