Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2221
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2221 · LAS → DAL
departs 6:40 PM PT · arrives 11:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 36%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
+31 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.