Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2221
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 2221 · LAS → DAL
departs 6:40 PM PT · arrives 11:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 36%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.