Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2227 · LAS → PIT
departs 5:35 PM PT · arrives 12:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 18%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 8.85714 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.