Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
WN 3133 · MCO → MCI
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 37%
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 34%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.