Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 3514 · DCA → MCI
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1 35%
Fri 10/2 34%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 3.66667 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.