YX 5801 · BOS → CVG

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 11:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

CVG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5801 · BOS → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?