AA 1702 · MIA → PIT

departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.29 in

PIT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1702 · MIA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?