Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1702 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 1702 · MIA → PIT

departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±1 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.83 in

PIT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1702 · MIA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?