tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 3195 · DFW → SAN

departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
77% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    21%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    23%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    15%
  6. Cancelled
    11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.