AA 413 · SAT → DFW

took off 1:29 PM CT · landed 2:16 PM CT (scheduled 12:41 PM CT → 2:05 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 413 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?