Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 861
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 861 · MIA → DCA
departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 4:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DCA?
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On time or early
68%
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15–30 min late
12%
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30 min–1 hour late
5%
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1–2 hours late
7%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.