Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1415 · FAI → ANC
departs 1:34 PM AKT · arrives 2:41 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.