Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 1415 · FAI → ANC
departs 1:34 PM AKT · arrives 2:41 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±0 pts+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.