Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1416SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1416 · SJC → HNL
departs 8:15 AM PT · arrives 10:49 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±3 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.