Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 514SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 514 · PHX → PAE
departs 10:52 AM MT · arrives 1:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PAE?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.