Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 795SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 795 · SMF → SEA
departs 8:03 AM PT · arrives 10:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
46%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.