Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 795SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 795 · SMF → SEA
departs 8:03 AM PT · arrives 10:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.