AS 964 · LIH → LAX

departs 11:31 AM HT · arrives 8:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from LIH are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.93 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 964 · LIH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?