Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
B6 492 · LAX → BUF
departs 11:35 PM PT · arrives 7:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 39%
Sat 10/3 38%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.