DL 1286 · ATL → JAN

took off 10:17 AM ET · landed 10:09 AM CT (scheduled 9:40 AM ET → 10:00 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into JAN at that hour are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

JAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1286 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAN?