DL 1289 · STL → MSP

took off 11:22 AM CT · landed 12:32 PM CT (scheduled 11:24 AM CT → 1:05 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ 11am departures from STL are often late

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1289 · STL → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?