DL 1289 · STL → MSP

departs 11:24 AM CT · arrives 1:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ 11am departures from STL are often late

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling967 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.33 in

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1289 · STL → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?