Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1365 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

DL 1365 · DTW → SAT

took off 8:55 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:15 PM ET → 10:22 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1365 · DTW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?