DL 1613 · MSP → MCI

departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 3:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ 1pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1613 · MSP → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?