Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1613
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1613 · MSP → MCI
departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 3:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Other factors
↑
1pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.