Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 2516 · CHO → ATL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 7%
Fri 10/2 4%
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
CHO is prone to delays
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
This flight has been late nan% of the time recently
Weather at each end
CHO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.