DL 2558 · MSP → BOS

departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2558 · MSP → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?