Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2558
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2558 · MSP → BOS
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 21%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.