DL 2576 · DCA → MIA

departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 5:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2576 · DCA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?