Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2873
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 2873 · DFW → MSP
departs 6:31 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 58%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.