Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
DL 2929 · MSP → CLT
departs 8:14 PM CT · arrives 11:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 13%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.