Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
DL 2941 · MSP → BIL
departs 10:20 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BIL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↑
10pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
BIL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.