Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2941 · MSP → BIL
departs 10:20 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 9/30 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BIL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
BIL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.